Posts Tagged 'short hills'

2019 Real Estate Projections

Where is the real estate market going in 2019?

newengland

Here are a few points I’ve boiled down and expanded upon (sourced from Realtor.com) that are likely to influence and illustrate the 2019 real estate market’s performance.

To see how this will affect you personally use the quick & complimentary home value estimator here – FIND YOUR HOME’S VALUE

  1. Home price growth will slow – perhaps down to 2%.  Many homes are still selling for a strong price, but receiving 8 or more offers as some did from 2014-2017 is becoming a much rarer occurrence.  For more info on local sales click this link – HOUSING MARKET TRENDS   for more specific HOUSING MARKET TRENDS
  2. Inventory will most likely remain moderate with only small increases, except for high-priced homes which will have significant inventory increases.  LOCAL INVENTORY INFO
  3. Millennials getting mortgages will slightly outpace GenerationX’ers and far outpace Boomers getting mortgages.
  4. The new tax law will be good for renters (keeping more income) and a mixed bag, but mostly negative for homeowners who may keep more income but will lose the SALT deductions.  The law no longer allows taxpayers the ability to deduct state and local taxes (SALT), so we’re being taxed twice on the same income. Those deductions on property taxes, along with a deduction on mortgage interest, used to provide a strong incentive for homeownership.  Maybe the new house representative class recently elected will stick up for the suburban voters who put them there and try to pass legislation to reverse or lessen the impact of the new laws, but I’m not holding my breath.
  5. Most experts are predicting that mortgage rates will most likely hit 5.5 percent by the end of the year. Some buyers will be motivated to purchase before the rates get too high and some may begin sitting on the sidelines waiting for the next dip. HOWEVER, after a recent meeting between China and the US about trade and tariffs, interest rates actually dropped. So ‘most experts’ may change their tune if the tariffs/trade wars keep putting a scare into the market.  For more about Mortgage-related questions – link instantly to expert MORTGAGE RATE, FINANCE INFO & PRE-APPROVALS  
  6. Most experts don’t see an obvious buyer’s market for awhile, because of moderate inventory and prices holding steady. Buyers will have to adapt their strategies to deal with higher rates and lower inventory.  Since higher end homes will have more inventory and more stagnant prices, there are more opportunities for buyers in the higher price ranges than in the entry level price ranges which have more buyer competition and less inventory.
  7. Despite remaining nominally a seller’s market, increasing competition from increased inventory will most likely bring down expectations for bidding wars, multiple offers  and getting whatever price a seller thinks he can get.. Sellers who price competitively should still be able to come away with a good amount of equity if they didn’t buy at the 2006 peak.
  8. The total number of home sales declined in 2018 compared to 2017 and is expected to decline further in 2019

link to full Realtor.com projections & article

Loving the scenery & greenery

If you need a Spring, Summer or Fall fix of gardens, lush landscaping and two beautiful homes, there are two spots in Essex County that are definitely worth a stroll or two.

Greenwood Garden in Short Hills, NJ  Greenwood Gardens link

Greenwood pergola autumn10 18 2012 (2) photo Ken Druse

 

and Van Vleck in Montclair, NJ  Van Vleck link

van_vleck_new_jersey_original

Real Estate conditions in local area

 

The Market in our area looks pretty strong.  Absorption rate is how many months it would take for the entire inventory of that town to sell given current conditions.  Inventory levels remain low and buyers are very active.

Local Market Absorption_08.21.2016

 

Area Sales for the full year 2010

Here are the sales numbers for the year  2010 in Suburban Essex and Northern Union counties.   Buyers are returning as the number of sales (sold listings) increased over 2009 figures for the following towns: South Orange, Maplewood, Millburn, Montclair and Summit.  The towns closest to the train lines are feeling the recovery before the others (figures from Garden State MLS).

Please call me if you’ve got any questions about these figures or would like a complimentary CMA (comparative market analysis) done for your home.


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